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Dead Cert NFL Betting Week 1

Let’s make one thing clear. This is a mockery. There’s no such thing as a betting expert. They’re like Santa Clause to me. They can claim all they wish but it’s either sensational luck or exceptional chance for an extended period of time. But yours truly along with a world of sports bettors around the globe like to believe they can beat the system. This is my year. That said, here’s a four fold that’s an absolute dead cert for todays slate of games. Let’s win some money. It’s football season. It’s NFL Betting Week 1

Miami Dolphins +3 @ 1/1

It’s looking like a warm day in Foxborough, a nice warm homely welcome for the Dolphins. Yes Mac Jones looked great in the preseason, but this is a Brian Flores defence that led the league in turnovers last season, and it got better. Not to mention the weapons the Dolphins have added on offence.

Tua will be under some pressure and the Dolphins offensive line will need to hold up and really prove themselves. Plus New England seems to have put together a pretty strong run game.

But Miami going into this as underdogs feels wrong to me, and gut feel has me feeling like they win this. The Patriots will need to rely on their run game if Miami’s secondary is able to take away the pass. With one of the strongest back ends in the NFL, Mac Jones will have his work cut out throwing the ball down the field. I’m going with Miami +3, and expecting them to win outright too…

Denver Broncos & Giants Over 41.5 @ 10/11

What are we doing here? The 41.5? Seems wildly off to me. I’m not sure what I’m missing but my understanding would be that these defences are going to hold the whole game. This is barely 20 points a piece. It’s a very warm night in New Jersey, no chance of rain, it’s humid. Yes I’m checking the weather on my bets. Because you have to. Never bet on the over and then switch the game on to discover a downpour…

New York has Saquon Barkley back, and brought in Kenny Golladay on a mega deal, and both are cleared to play this weekend. Daniel Jones has more weapons at his disposal and while the offensive line is a bit of a mess, the Broncos will be playing without Bradley Chubb. I’m expecting points, and I’m not sure why Vegas and the bettors are not? Odd.

LA Chargers & Washington Under 45.5 @ 10/11

This has defensive match up written all over it for me. Austin Ekeler is expected to play but has been limited all week, and going up against that Washington front 4 when you’re not quite 100% isn’t easy. Justin Herbert could be great and he might be the difference in the game to be honest, which is why i’m not touching the spread bets or making a choice on either team. But I think they’ll keep each other in check and I feel good about the under.

Ryan Fitzpatrick is unpredictable as they come and I’m expecting a little bit of a transition period with his new offence. The Chargers boast an impressive defence themselves, and we’re all excited for the return of Derwin James, who could cause Fitzy some issues all by himself. There’ll be a few touchdowns, Antonio Gibson is going to be great, but I’m hedging my bets here.

Minnesota Vikings & Cincinnati Bengals Over 47 @ 10/11

Two offences loaded with talent. The Vikings will overrun Cincinnati’s defence and I honestly believe they’ll get 35 themselves. With Adam Thielen, Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson all ready to go, the Bengals are going to need as much help as they can get defensively. Cornerback Trae Waynes is out, which won’t help, and that leaves a lot of pressure on Chidobe Awuzie at corner. Of course, the Bengals have a great pair of safeties in Jessie Bates and Vonn Bell, and a cheeky sidebet on Kirk Cousins to throw an interception is worth a shot.

Offensively, the Bengals are going to be about as well put together as they have been for a decade. Ignore the critics, Ja’Marr Chase is a great receiver, and he’ll come good. Whether that’s in week 1 or not, it doesn’t really matter. Tee Higgins is an excellent receiver and is being under appreciated right now. But Joe Mixon could put on a show early too, and remind fans just how good he can be.

Summary

I’m trying to cut back on my accas this year, and largely just betting singles to see how I get on for a while. I’ll do two accas a week, compared to the typical 8-10 I have done in previous years. They’re fun though aren’t they. There’s nothing like slinging a wild 6 fold touchdown scorer bet on and one guy getting in the end zone early… giving you extreme false hope that your 850/1 acca is about to come good.

So a four fold for me this week, then a few singles, and I might summarise the outcomes on the Youtube channel each week. I haven’t decided yet. Things are underway with us beginning to create video content on our brand, so be sure to check that out, and sub to join us as we progress as a business, and add different variations of content to the channel!

NFL Betting Week 1 NFL Betting Week 1 NFL Betting Week 1 NFL Betting Week 1 NFL Betting Week 1 NFL Betting Week 1

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