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Fantasy Premier League: GW3 Key Decisions

Taking a look at the key decisions facing fantasy managers for GW3. I’m going over the best captain options, mentioning a few stand-out players to help bolster your FPL squads, and taking a look back at how last week’s standout players faired.

Captain Decisions

captain is a key decison in gw3

This week is the perfect opportunity to select a differential captain for our FPL squads. With some tough-looking fixtures for the usual go-to captains, I’m listing the players I think have the best chance of big hauls in GW3.

Michail Antonio – 7.7m37.4% Owned

Fixture: West Ham vs Crystal Palace

In his 2 games so far, Antonio has 3 goals and 3 assists. That’s equated to 29 FPL points, which is an astounding 14.5 PPM. Granted it’s a small sample size, but West Ham had a great pre-season and have now scored 8 goals in the first two league games, so are looking like the in-form team to start the season. They face Crystal Palace at home, which on paper, looks very favourable. The only drawback is that Crystal Palace has only conceded 1 big chance in their opening 2 games, and that includes an away game against Chelsea. But apart from that, this looks like an ideal captain choice for GW3. I also think Benrahma for West Ham is a good differential captain choice this week, as the Antonio selection has become somewhat mainstream.

Heung Min Son – 10.0m – 24% Owned

Fixture: Tottenham vs Watford

I think a lot of managers had penciled in Son as the ideal captain choice for GW3. But last week he had a bit of an injury so is a potential risk for the home game against Watford. Watford has conceded 4 goals in their opening two games, and Tottenham has started the season well in terms of results and team mentality. So this fixture looks primed for a big haul from a Tottenham star.

Callum Wilson – 7.5m – 6.4% Owned

Fixture: Newcastle vs Southampton

After blanking last week and earning one measly point in FPL, 75K managers have decided to get rid of Callum Wilson. I think they will live to regret that decision. With a home game against Southampton, I’m expecting this fixture to be a high-scoring end-to-end game. And if that’s the case, Wilson will score big. I remember a very similar situation not so long ago, lots of FPL managers jumped off Wilson after a frustrating start to the season, the next week he scored a hat-trick. So right now he has my vice-captain armband and depending on how much risk I want to take, might end up my captain for GW3.

Harry Kane – 12.3m – 7.3% Owned

Fixture: Tottenham vs Watford

With such low ownership and a really appealing home fixture against Watford, Kane could be a gamechanger this week. The issue is most managers don’t like swapping between premium players. But if you had 2 free transfers this week, or have decided to use your wildcard, at 12.3m and a good chance he will play, Kane could be a shrewd captain pick. Though be warned, there is risk attached to this choice, as we’re unsure how many minutes he will play. But with the news that he’s staying at Tottenham for the season, he is now a safe option for the long-term.

Standout Players For GW3

This week I’m selecting a big hitter for GW3, a potential season-long enabler, plus both a calculated punt & safe bet for the next 4 game weeks. If you’re unsure what any of that means, read this.

Big Hitter

Carrying on from last week, the big hitter is someone I’m projecting to get a double-digit GW score, and excludes any of the captain options in the section above.

Patrick Bamford – 7.9m – Leeds

Fixture: Away to Burnley

Projected Points: 12 points

Big hitter Bamford
Image via footballtransfertavern

Bamford seems to be going under the radar in FPL this season. With so many other forwards offering great value early on, you can see why this is the case. But I think an away game against Burnley is a great opportunity for him to remind everyone of how valuable he can be. I’m expecting a goal or 2 plus an assist from Bamford this week, so around 12 points.

Calculated Punt –

A player who is a slight gamble, but if you get it right could hit big over the next four fixtures.

Grealish – 8.0m – Manchester City

Fixtures: Arsenal (h), Leicester (a), Southampton (h), Chelsea (a)

Projected points: 6PPM

Image via goal.com

With many managers focussing on West Ham assets, plus the emergence of Lukaku, Grealish and Manchester City assets are seemingly an afterthought at the moment. If you read our 8.0m – 9.5m FPL midfielder article, you’ll know the risk with Manchester City assets. But I think Grealish might be safe from Pep Roulette, especially for the time being as City’s ultimate goal is the Champions League. So I think he will want to give Grealish as much of a chance to gel with the players and into Peps system. With 3 of the next 4 fixtures looking favourable, I’m expecting around 24 points over those fixtures.

Safe Bet –

A safe bet for FPL returns over four fixtures.

Michail Antonio – 7.7m – West Ham

Fixtures: Crystal Palace (h), Southampton (a), Manchester United (h), Leeds (a)

Projected points: 8PPM

GW3 key decisions to captain Antonio
Image via footynews.co.uk

Not only is Antonio a great captain option, but I also think he is a safe bet for the next four gameweeks. He is currently the most transferred-in player this week, with nearly 650,000 managers opting to get him in, and I think it’s a bandwagon well worth jumping on. I chose him in my pre-season watchlist series as a risky player to own, with the caveat that the best time to own him is the start of the season due to him being injury prone, and boy has he proved me right. I would be surprised if he continues his current 14.5PPM for much longer. But I’m projecting he will get around 32 points over the next four fixtures, which is still an incredible 8 points per match (PPM).

Enabler –

A cheap valued player that enables you to free up funds within your squad for more potent FPL scorers.

Tino Livramento – 4.0m – Southampton

Livramento gw3 key decisions
Image via southampton-mad.co.uk

The 18-year-old has started back-to-back league games at full-back, has looked good, and now looks like he could play in a wing-back position. Whilst everyone’s attention is on Duffy (4.1m) and Tsmikas (4.2m), they look more like short-term options, whereas Livramento, on-loan from Chelsea, has a strong chance of playing many games this season. Although his team, Southampton, has a terrible defence, to be able to have a 4.0m defender on the bench that you know will get at least 1 point, with the occasional 6+ point game, is an invaluable asset. Or if you’re trying to find a way to get 3 premium attackers in your squad, he could potentially be a starter in your team.

Hopefully, this gives you some clarity for your transfer and captain decisions this week.

Review: Last Weeks Standout Players

Big Hitter – Trent Alexander Arnold:

Projected points: 11 || Actual points: 12

Picking up a clean sheet and an assist just as I expected, but also managing the maximum bonus points giving him an extra point. As it turned out he was one of the better captain choices for GW2.

Calculated Punt & Safe Bet – Raphinha & DCL

Projected PPM: 7 & 5.5 || Actual PPM so far: 7 & 7.

Both these players got off to a great start scoring a goal each. Let’s see if they can continue that consistency until GW5.

Risky Differential – Leon Bailey:

Projected points: 14 in 2 games || Actual points: 0

Didn’t even feature in the matchday squad, proving the risk attached to him. His target of 14 points over 2 fixtures now means he needs a mammoth haul against Brentford.

International Break FPL Content

Over the next two weeks we will be releasing:

  1. FPL monthly review: August – Looking at standout performers, trends moving forward, any lessons learned, plus a shoutout to the MOTM in our mini-league.
  2. Imaginary wildcard for GW4.
  3. A review of the Undrafted team, with a poll for you to help our decision making.
  4. A preview of GW4, similar to this article.

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