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Undrafted FPL: Top 5 Midfielders

With one week to go until the first matchday, It’s time to take a look at our top 5 Midfielders for the 2021/22 Fantasy Premier League season. I’m expecting these players to top the FPL rankings and be your go-to captain choice most game weeks. Before ranking them, I’m going to share some interesting facts and trends from recent seasons. This will help explain what type of points returns we should be expecting from our premium-priced midfielders in the season ahead.

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Previous seasons

Image via fantasy.premierleague

Of last seasons top 5 midfielders, 3 of them amassed over 220 points (see image above). The highest scorer was Fernandes with 244 points. Son managed 228 points priced at 9.0m, which is great value compared to the 231 points from 12.5m priced Salah. I’ve decided to compare these stats to previous FPL seasons, looking for any trends I can use to help with decision-making this season. Below are my findings:

  1. Since records began 19 seasons ago, the average total for the top ranked midfielder is 245.8 points.
  2. In the last 9 seasons, the average is 259.5 points.
  3. Then in the last 5 seasons, the average total has been 264.2 points for the best midfielder. That’s huge.
  4. Of those past 5 seasons, atleast three midfielders have achieved over 200 points every single time.
  5. And of those three midfielders, one of them was always priced between 8.0 – 9.5m. That’s insane value.

Based on the above, we can expect around 260 points from the top-ranked midfielder this season. We can also safely assume that at least three midfielders will get over 200 points, and one of those midfielders will be priced between 8.0m – 9.5m. So it’s worth targeting that price bracket. As a guide, I think 200 points should be the benchmark for a premium-priced midfielder (10m+). Anything less than that and you could have used your budget more wisely. So let’s take a look at Undrafted’s predicted top 5 midfielders for the 2021/22 season…

Top 5 Midfielders

5. Grealish – 8.0m – Manchester City –

Image via ???

This guy is going to be the most monitored fantasy asset in the opening weeks of this season. With his big move to City now official, the excitement of how invaluable Grealish could become this season is starting to sink in. 8.0m for a Manchester City attacker who is one of the best chance creators in the league, could be ridiculous value. The fear as always with Pep’s teams is whether he is rotation proof or not. If he is rotation proof, I think Grealish could easily break the 200 points barrier this season. Time will tell. Predicted points: 182.

4. Son – 10.0m – Tottenham Hotspur

I seem to have an optimistic outlook for Son regardless of whether Kane leaves or not. If he does leave, I think Son could easily increase his goals tally, potentially playing as a no.9 and becoming the main focal point for the Spurs attack. But if Kane stays, I think a similar return as last season is achievable, with the pair often setting each other up. Predicted points: 190.

3. Havertz – 8.5m – Chelsea

Image via Eurosport

In 3rd place and thus, based on my findings, likely to amass more than 200 points, I’m predicting Kai Havertz! With so many new signings last season, I always felt like it would take a bit of time for them all to gel. The fact they won the Champions League even after changing managers mid-season is impressive. So now that the Chelsea squad has had their first pre-season with Tuchel, I’m expecting Havertz to be settled and raring to go. Predicted points: 201.

2. Fernandes – 12.0m – Manchester United

It’s been an explosive first year and a half for Fernandes in the Premier League, and I’m not expecting that to change this season. Although his Euro performances weren’t to the standard we expect in terms of fantasy returns, his FPL potential remains the same. Penalty tacker – check, Bonus points system magnet – check, chief creator in his team – check. He’s likely to get around 15 assists this season and depending on how many penalties United gets, between 9-18 goals. Plus he has a great run of fixtures to start the season. Predicted points: 241 points

1. Salah – 12.5m – Liverpool

Image via sportingnews.com

Having narrowly missed out on the golden boot last season, and knowing how driven Salah is for those types of accolades, I think he’s going to be motivated to try and get his 3rd golden boot in only 4 seasons. He’s averaged 23 goals and 10 assists in his opening 4 seasons with Liverpool. So if we assume he manages that again this season, it will be another high-scoring FPL season for Salah. Predicted points: 253 points.

Honourable mentions to Kevin De Bruyne, Sadio Mane, & Sterling who could easily find themselves in the top 5 come May.

More FPL content

Check out our top 5 goalkeepers and top 5 defenders. Using a similar format to this, I’ve broken down who I believe will be the highest scoring GK’s & defenders for FPL this season. Also, feel free to check out Undrafted’s first mock draft.

Stay tuned for upcoming FPL articles including our top 5 forwards, Undrafted’s final draft squad, and some handy player comparisons.

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3 comments

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Making The Case FPL: 8.0m - 9.5m Midfielders - Undrafted - The Network 24th August 2021 at 5:51 pm

[…] touched on it in my Top 5 FPL Midfielders article. Whilst doing research into that article, I found that in each of the last 5 seasons, an 8.0m […]

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