Well. Day One was interesting to say the least.
The first race saw our win selection Appreciate It absolutely bolt up. He must’ve won by about 30 lengths.
Irascible was never travelling, but still managed to snatch 5th. Thankfully we got our £10 back.
The second race saw another easy winner, in Shishkin. This gave us 2/2 winners on our acca so far. Our EW selection Allmankind was sat 2nd pretty much the whole way, but ended up finishing 4th after being passed just before the line.
We had Pym in the third race, and he tried to make all from the front, and couldn’t keep up with the pace. Very disappointing.
Things went from bad to worse for Goshen, being un-steerable this whole way round. Silver Streak gave his all once more, but Honeysuckle was in a different parish, and remains unbeaten.
Black Tears managed to beat Concertista in the Close Brothers, and deny the favourite acca. Our two outsiders were very poor, and that pretty much sums up the day.
Her Indoors was another who just never travelled whatsoever, and never got in the race. The race was won by an 80/1 shot however, so fair play if anyone backed that..
Snow Leopardess managed to grab us some place money, finishing a solid 4th in a tough race.
So all in all fairly disappointing really. Normally I have a couple bigger priced winners this week, so there’s a lot of work to be done over the next 3 days.
Nevertheless, onto tomorrow!
1.20 – Ballymore Novices Hurdle
The current favourite, Bob Olinger, was actually my outsider pick for the Supreme yesterday, so it wouldn’t surprise me if he was to go well here.
He’s still unexposed and going the right way, and I think he’ll be very hard to beat. However at 15/8, I wouldn’t be backing the single.
As per usual, Sky Bet are doing up to £10 cash back if your bet loses in the first race.
The top 3 in the market are relatively clear of the rest, so I’d take a chance on Keskonrisk. The gelding has only raced three times, with his last race being a very strong grade 1, with some serious form.
At the price, and for a risk free tenner, I’d be taking the 16/1 on Keskonrisk.
EW – KESKONRISK – 16/1 – SKY BET £10 MONEY BACK
1.55 – Brown Advisory Novices Chase
Monkfish is clearly the hot topic of the race, and at 4/9 it’s clear to see why. An exciting prospect, Willie Mullins thinks very, very highly of him, and it would be unsurprising to see him romp home.
I really like Sporting John, and he won a strong grade 1 at Sandown last month. He managed 7th in a tough Ballymore last year at the festival, and I can see him being bang in contention.
At a price, Fiddlerontheroof looks a decent each-way option. Despite being exposed, he’s a battle hardened horse, and doesn’t know when to give up. I think you’ll definitely get a run for your money at the price.
EW – SPORTING JOHN – 12/1
EW – FIDDLERONTHEROOF – 33/1
2.30 – Coral Cup
Quite simply one of the most competitive races of the week, which again will give us up to 7 places with some firms.
Grand Roi has been running in some tougher races than this, and on a mark that isn’t too unfair on him. Costing a whopping £400,000 a year ago, it wouldn’t be a shock to see him win this nicely.
I’m a massive fan of the unexposed Craigneiche. He done everything so nicely last time out at Ascot, and the Henderson yard thinks so very highly of him.
Thomas Darby is another horse I’ve followed for a long time, and I’m sure he’ll give it a good go also.
Shakem Up ‘Arry will be the final selection for the 7 places. He seems the type to relish this further trip, and he’s currently 28/1, which represents value.
EW – GRAND ROI – 13/2
EW – CRAIGNEICHE – 12/1
EW – SHAKEM UP ‘ARRY – 28/1
3.05 – Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase
The race of the day, and one of the most anticipated races of the week.
Chacun Pour Soi represents another Willie Mullins favourite, and another that’ll be tough to beat.
Nube Negra comfortably beat Altior last time out at Kempton, and looks better than ever this year.
The 10 year old Politologue has been an excellent servant for Paul Nicholls, and it would be lovely to see him run a huge race, in what could be his final festival appearance.
My top selection however, will have to be First Flow. An absolute dream horse, who seems to improve every time we see him. At the prices, I think he’s fantastic value.
EW – FIRST FLOW – 14/1
EW/WIN – NUBE NEGRA – 7/1
3.40 – Glenfarclas Chase
A race that will be focusing mainly on Tiger Roll, and the fact he won’t be using this as a stepping stone for the Grand National. I think the legendary two time National winner is slightly past it, and I can’t see him winning this.
Easysland won this exact race very simply last year, and would have to have a massive chance as the market suggests. He had a relatively easy return in a handicap here last November, and I believe that was just a warm up for this race.
I think Easysland will be very tough to beat, therefore he will be my main bet, however at a massive price, I quite like Hogan’s Height. Although recent form hasn’t quite been up to scratch, he’s currently 40/1, and many of these have even more question marks than him.
WIN – EASYSLAND – 11/10
EW – HOGAN’S HEIGHT – 40/1
4.15 – Grand Annual Challenge Cup
Another tough race to call, as most of these big handicaps are this week. Embittered has been running in grade 1’s recently, and now dropping back to a handicap, has to be of interest.
Ibleo has been going from strength to strength this year, but is also creeping up the handicap. I think he’ll run a solid race still, and hopefully can grab a place at least.
EW – EMBITTERED – 7/1
EW – IBLEO – 16/1
4:50 – Champion Bumper
One of the best races of the week. Pretty much all horses who run in this race go on to bigger and better things, making it ultra competitive.
Willie Mullins is a genius at winning this race, and he’s got the two at the head of the market.
Kilcruit and Sir Gerhard are however very short in the market, so I’m going to go for an outsider.
That outsider will be Shearer, for Paul Nicholls. I just think at 33/1 he’s massively overpriced. He’s only ran twice, winning the latest by 9 lengths at Warwick.
EW – SHEARER – 33/1
Here’s hoping for another solid day, and a few more winners!
See you all tomorrow for 3 more grade 1’s!