We’re not gonna talk about last week. The Browns were ass, Philly made a ridiculous late surge which achieved nothing but unravelling my bet further, and I stupidly bet the over in the Dolphins game, which the Jets contributed an enormous 0 pints towards. Horrific week. This week we’ve got Browns, Steelers Titans, and some other dead certs for you to feast on.
BUT, I am coming off a tasty little college football win yesterday, taking down £189, having cashed out before the final game began, and Minnesota got ruined my Michigan, so great cash out, and today we’re free rolling.
Cleveland Cover Cincy
Cleveland were ugly last week against the Steelers. But i’m starting to get the feeling a lot of people are going to look ugly against that Steelers defence.
As i’m writing this, the Browns are -3.5 against the Bengals, which looks like an absolute GIFT.
Okay so Austin Hoopers out, they have Njoku, and we’ll survive. A poor performance and the bookies seem to have forgotten the Brownies are 4-2, and the Bengals have absolutely no answer for Myles Garrett.
AND, Joe Mixons out. So add that to the list of reasons why this one is a total dead certi. Browns to cover the -3.5. Grazie Carissimo.
Rodgers Mission of Reform
Aaron Rodgers looked last last weekend for the first time this season. And apparently Green Bay fans are calling for Jordan Love? Crikey.
The Packers head to Houston to face a Texans team coming off a nasty overtime loss to the Titans in week 6. But the fight was there and the lack of Bill O’Brien’s present seemed to work for them. But this is another challenge on a continuous brutal schedule for the Houston Texans.
Green Bay might be without Aaron Jones, he’s currently questionable, but i’m honestly just expecting Aaron Rodgers to put on a clinic, shut his fan base up, throw 500 yards and beat the Texans in their own backyard.
The Texans are giving up 424 passing yards on average per game. That’s the third most in the league. This is Aaron Rodgers. Those two factoids create a mismatch. Packers to win. I’ll avoid the spread and just take the money line.
Packers win in Houston.
Points Points Points Pittsburgh Tennessee
Game of the week for me. Two undefeated teams playing extremely well this season battling it out on a Sunday afternoon in Tennessee. This is a complete toss up. If I had to choose, i’d go with the Steelers based on the fact that they’re defence is currently the best in the league, and it’s not close.
They have everything they need to be a Super Bowl contender right now, and I was incredibly wrong about the health of Big Ben at the beginning of the season.
The Steelers are the only team in the league who’ve given up less than 100 points. 94 points allowed, with the Ravens in second place allowing 104. They’re the best right now. They gave Baker nightmares last week.
BUT. Derrick Henry is a game plan of his own. You can’t bring that man down easily, which is why this match up today is going to be so interesting to watch, and is most definitely game of the week. That accompanied with a rolling Titans offence, Tannehill playing to perfection, and working in a scheme that seems to suit him.
Neither team gives up turnovers, but both create them. The Titans lead the league in turnover differential at +6, and the Steelers at +5. These two are going to go back and forth and grind this one out. I feel good about betting the OVER. But Rex, that goes against everything you’ve just said? Yep. Derrick Henry needs to have a game for this to pay out, I’ll make that clear. He’s the toughest challenge this Steelers team has faced so far this season, and with so much focus on him, it should open up the passing game for the Titans. Let’s also remember that Devin Bush went down last week, and people underestimate his role in that defence, particularly against the run.
Great game between these two, and I just want to see points. At least 52 of them. I’m betting the over at 51.
The Jets are still HORRIBLE
The Dolphins held the Jets to zero points last week. The Bills have a better defence than the Dolphins right now. Easy calculation on this one. The spread is -10, and that feels almost like they’re just trying to be polite. You can’t really allocate a 24 point spread in a professional NFL game now can you. BUT they should.
Everybody has jumped off the Bills bandwagon after couple of rough weeks, but what better way to bounce back than against a totally dreadful Jets team. Nothing has changed, they’re not going to get any better, and once again, 10 points seems like a gift of a spread.
I’ll take the Bills to cover that and a whole lot more. This one just feels too easy. Famous last words. But seriously, somethings gone wrong if the Bills don’t cover that.
Chiefs and the Over
The Chiefs can score 40 on their own. The Broncos haven’t really had a chance to shine yet this season, and I’m super disappointed because I was ALL IN on the Broncos pre season.
Sadly, an injury to Drew Lock, Von Miller and half of the rest of their team derailed what was to be a good season for them. But they’re starting to get themselves back on track.
A nice win away at the Patriots will give them some confidence going into a home game against Mahomes and his boys.
The Chiefs are third in the league in average points per game and I honestly don’t think we’ve seen them at their best yet. That might just be this week.
The Broncos front seven is depleted. No Von Miller, Jurrell Casey had a season ending injury, after being a key piece for them so far in the season. Not getting to Mahomes quick enough means points and bombs for the Chiefs. That being said, the Broncos are getting back Noah Fant, Melvin Gordon, and KJ Hamler, so I’m expecting them to score some points of their own.
I’m going with the over in the game at 44 points, and the Chiefs to win outright. No spread.
This is the week, I feel good. I’m bouncing back. Honestly nothing i’ve gone with here is outrageous at all.
£10 returning £286.47… let’s have ourselves a day. ONLY follow me if you wish to do so. I shall not force the hand.
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